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记者Mark Halperin出现在2WAY节目中,讨论最新的民意调查,肯定卡马拉·哈里斯在各方面都遇到了麻烦,民意调查是准确的,川普总统正在获胜。


“There's no doubt in my mind that the polling as I've characterized it this week is accurate, that right now Trump would win and that the numbers are moving in his direction,” says Mark Halperin. Kamala Harris' “problems in each individual state with different demographic groups are pronounced … There’s confidence in Mar-A-Lago, concern in Wilmington and greater concern amongst Democratic elected officials who I hear from daily asking me what I know … And telling me explicitly and through their questions, they are worried. That doesn't mean she won't win, but that's how we head into the weekend. Democrats are worried about where things stand.”
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  • 枫下茶话 / 社会政治 / 记者Mark Halperin出现在2WAY节目中,讨论最新的民意调查,肯定卡马拉·哈里斯在各方面都遇到了麻烦,民意调查是准确的,川普总统正在获胜。 +1

    “There's no doubt in my mind that the polling as I've characterized it this week is accurate, that right now Trump would win and that the numbers are moving in his direction,” says Mark Halperin. Kamala Harris' “problems in each individual state with different demographic groups are pronounced … There’s confidence in Mar-A-Lago, concern in Wilmington and greater concern amongst Democratic elected officials who I hear from daily asking me what I know … And telling me explicitly and through their questions, they are worried. That doesn't mean she won't win, but that's how we head into the weekend. Democrats are worried about where things stand.”
    • 民意调查水很深。看看就可以了。
    • 看“民调”如果直接看当前数据肯定会被牵着鼻子走。要看就看四年前这个时候拜登如何“遥遥领先川普”(5%~8),八年前这个时候“希拉里领先川普”(8~12%)。现在的哈里斯才“领先”了多少?
      • 这位记者说的民调不仅仅是公开民调,他还掌握了一些内部民调。内部民调的用途是不一样的。 +1
        • “内部民调”更是只能自己用
          • 是啊,所以民主党内部的人很恐慌 +1
            • 我不怎么担心基础实际数据,实际数据肯定是川爷赢,这个基本上是不用说的,更担心的是恐慌的民主党人会祭出什么恶招,用各种手段作弊肯定不在话下,但如果还不够呢,到时候估计还会有各种事情发生。
              • 正常选举川普赢了。 +1
              • 说是月底前一周